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Thursday, February 20, 2020
Daily Technical Analysis
The main trend is up according to the daily swing chart. The uptrend was reaffirmed when buyers took out the January 8 main top at $1619.60. Breaking back below this top indicates the breakout was likely fueled by buy stops rather than new buyers. This could be the first sign of weakness.
The main trend will change to down on a trade through $1564.40. This is highly unlikely, however, a break back under yesterday’s low at $1611.80 will put the market in a position to form a closing price reversal top.
Daily Forecast
Based on the early price action and the current price at $1617.70, the direction of the April Comex gold market the rest of the session on Thursday is likely to be determined by trader reaction to $1611.80.
Bullish Scenario
A sustained move over $1611.80 will indicate the presence of buyers. If this move continues to generate enough upside momentum then we could see a retest of the intraday high at $1621.60. Taking out this level could drive the market into the next upside target zone at $1629.90 to $1719.10.
Bearish Scenario
A sustained move under $1611.80 will signal the presence of sellers. If this move creates enough downside momentum then look for a pull back into the steep uptrending Gann angle at $1604.40.
Watch for a technical bounce on the first test of $1604.40. If it fails then look for a potential acceleration to the downside with $1592.00 to $1591.10 the next likely downside target.
Saturday, February 15, 2020
मेरा मकसद है “मेरे क्लाइंट को सशक्त बनाने के लिए बाजार में लगातार बने रहने के लिए अगर वे प्रति माह केवल 30-40% का रिटर्न निकाल लेते हैं”। यह depend नहीं करता है कि आप कितना कमाते हैं, लेकिन यह depend करता है,आप सभी कितने समय तक आप बाजार में बने रहते हैं “हमारा केवल केवल एक ही मकसद है पहले सीखे फिर कमाए !!, हमारा क्लाइंट से वादा हे हमारे पास आने के बाद कुछ सीख कर और कुछ कमा कर ही जाएंगे
Tuesday, February 11, 2020
WTI Crude Oil
The WTI Crude Oil market has rallied a bit during the trading session on Tuesday, breaking back above the $50[mcx 3560] level for a sign of strength. That being said though, there is a ton of noise between here and $52.50,[mcx 3750] so it’s difficult to imagine that the market is simply going to break out to the upside from here. If it did break above $52.50,[mcx 3750] then it’s likely that the market can go towards the $55 [mcx 3920]level. Furthermore, if the market breaks down to fresh, new lows, then it should open up the door to the $47.50 [mcx 3380] level, and then eventually the $45 [mcx 3200] level after that. Ultimately, this is a market that is suffering at the hands of the coronavirus and of course the oversupply issu :
The WTI Crude Oil market has rallied a bit during the trading session on Tuesday, breaking back above the $50[mcx 3560] level for a sign of strength. That being said though, there is a ton of noise between here and $52.50,[mcx 3750] so it’s difficult to imagine that the market is simply going to break out to the upside from here. If it did break above $52.50,[mcx 3750] then it’s likely that the market can go towards the $55 [mcx 3920]level. Furthermore, if the market breaks down to fresh, new lows, then it should open up the door to the $47.50 [mcx 3380] level, and then eventually the $45 [mcx 3200] level after that. Ultimately, this is a market that is suffering at the hands of the coronavirus and of course the oversupply issu :
Gold four-hour chart
After the breakdown of the January bear flag, the bears consider the current up move as a correction that can lead to an extension of the down move. Sellers are looking for a break of the 1569.00 support with a continuation to 1563.00 and a potential drop to the 1557.58 level. However, a daily break above the 1572/74 resistance could invalidate the bearish view and re-establish a bullish bias in XAU/USD.
Friday, February 7, 2020
The XAU/USD pair is in correction, still likely to grow Estimated pivot point is at a level of 1511
Main scenario: long positions will be relevant above the level of $1511 with a target of $1650 – $1700 once the correction has formed.
Alternative scenario: breakout and consolidation below the level of $1511 will allow the pair to continue declining to the levels of $1480 – $1450.
Analysis: Supposedly, wave (B) of senior level continues developing on the weekly time frame, with an ascending impulse developing inside as wave C of (B). Apparently, the fifth wave v of C is developing on the daily time frame, with wave (i) of v formed inside. On the H4 time frame, presumably, a local correction continues developing as wave (ii) with wave c of (ii) forming inside. If the presumption is correct, the price will continue to rise to the levels $1650 – $1700 after correction. The level of $1511 is critical in this scenario as the breakout will enable the pair to continue declining to the levels of $1480 – $1450
Daily Technical Analysis
The main trend is down according to the daily swing chart. A trade through $1551.10 will signal a resumption of the downtrend. Taking out $1598.50 will change the main trend to up.
The major support is the retracement zone at $1539.10 to $1520.00.
The short-term intermediate range is $1542.80 to $1598.50. Its retracement zone at $1570.70 to $1564.10 is currently being tested. Trader reaction to this zone will determine the near-term direction of the market. Overcoming it could lead to a challenge of the recent high. A failure at this zone will likely form another secondary lower top.
The main range is $1619.60 to $1542.80. Its retracement zone at $1581.20 to $1590.30 is potential resistance
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GOLD SELL CALL
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