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Saturday, November 30, 2019
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Monday, November 25, 2019
Gold We see near term rallies on gold struggling to sustain traction as the corrective medium term outlook weighs. Subsequently, in the past week, the failure to break through the resistance band $1474/$1480 seems to now be weighing on gold. The technical rally has rolled over and in posting three negative candles in a row, the sellers are gaining control again. A mild unwind on indicators such as RSI and Stochastics seems to be a chance to sell. The RSI faltering below 40 along with the failure for the MACD lines to make any sustainable recovery, leaves the sellers on the brink of decisive control again. As the market has formed lower highs and lower lows in recent days, intraday rallies are already struggling, with Friday’s high of $1472 another barrier to gains now. A move below initial support at $1456 opens $1445 again, whilst the medium term retreat towards $1400 is still possible in due course.
Tuesday, November 12, 2019
CRUDE OIL WTI TREND AND ANALYSIS:>Bullish Scenario
A sustained move over $56.81 will signal the presence of buyers. If this move can generate enough upside momentum then look for the rally to possibly extend into the minor top at $57.88, followed closely by the main Fibonacci level at $58.21.
Taking out $58.21 could trigger a breakout into the September 23 main top at $59.11.
GOLD COMEX RANGE AND ANALYSIS :> Bearish Scenario:A sustained move under $1457.10 will indicate the presence of sellers. This move is likely to continue to generate the downside momentum needed to eventually challenge the August 1 bottom at $1412.10.
Bullish Scenario
Overtaking and sustaining a rally over $1457.10 will signal the presence of buyers. This could set up a 2 to 3 day counter-trend rally with potential upside targets the main Fibonacci level at $1471.00 and the main 50% level at $1489.20. Sellers are likely to re-emerge on a test of $1471.00 to $1489.20.
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Natural gas: Price Outlook
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